Thursday, October 30, 2014

NBA 2K15 Roster Analysis - 10/29/15 (Opening Night)

2K Sports has pulled no punches in addressing their NBA 2K roster issues.  For the first time ever, we have daily roster updates and full NBA rosters, a "Living Roster" that has long been advertised but not adequately delivered until now.

NEW PLAYERS
For the first time ever, 2K Sports is not missing any players entering the season.  The fans have asked for this and 2K finally answered.

Some of these players were added earlier in the month, but I think the opening night roster is a fine time to highlight them all.

Jakarr Sampson (63/SF) - 76ers
Damian Inglis (69/SF) - Bucks
Joe Harris (66/SG) - Cavaliers
Alex Kirk (65/C) - Cavaliers
Dwight Powell (66/PF) - Celtics
Mike Muscala (67/C) - Hawks
Andre Dawkins (65/SG) - Heat
Joe Ingles (68/SF) - Jazz
Eric Moreland (65/PF) - Kings
Travis Wear (66/PF) - Knicks
Devyn Marble (68/SF) - Magic
Cory Jefferson (66/PF) - Nets
Jerome Jordan (66/C) - Nets
Jorge Gutierrez (65/PG) - Nets
Erick Green (69/PG) - Nuggets
Damjan Rudez (71/SF) - Pacers
Shayne Whittington (65/C) - Pacers
Patric Young (67/PF) - Pelicans
Spencer Dinwiddie (69/PG) - Pistons
Lucas Nogueira (67/C) - Raptors
Kostas Papanikolaou (71/SF) - Rockets
Joey Dorsey (69/C) - Rockets
Tariq Black (69/PF) - Rockets
Clint Capela (67/PF) - Rockets
Zoran Dragic (72/SG) - Suns
Grant Jerrett (67/PF) - Thunder
Glenn Robinson III (67/SF) - Timberwolves
Casper Ware (66/PG) - Free Agent
Jason Kapono 65/SG) - Free Agent
Shane Edwards (63/SF) - Free Agent
D.J. Mbenga (63/C) - Free Agent

That's about 31 new players by my count.  As recently as two years ago the game was missing 30 players entering the season.

PLAYER RATING CHANGES
There are none.  It's the first day of the season.  2K has previously edited players during the preseason, but there wasn't much need given the vast overhaul it gave player ratings over the summer.

POSITION CHANGES
Subsequent Overall rating change listed if applicable.
PG: Tony Wroten (-2), E'Twaun Moore, Jared Cunningham, Toure Murry, Russ Smith, Jason Terry
SG: Chris Johnson, Jerryd Bayless (+1), Jared Dudley (-1), Tony Snell, James Young, Nick Young, Bojan Bogdanovic, Cartier Martin, Zach LaVine
SF: Tony Allen (+1), Kent Bazemore (-3), Gerald Henderson (-1), Reggie Bullock, Xavier Henry (-1), Joe Johnson
PF: Nerlens Noel, Hedo Turkoglu, Marvin Williams (-1), Enes Kanter (+1), Jason Smith
C: John Henson, Elton Brand, Derrick Favors, Andrea Bargnani (-3), Ed Davis,

2K adjusted these to reflect depth charts moving forward, which also reflects what I've been doing in my personal rosters for a long time.  For example: Gerald Henderson might be a natural SG, but he's expected to play most of his minutes at SF due to the roster composition.  Which means he needs his position changed or the AI won't optimize the roster efficiently (on and off the court).

Missing Position Changes
PG: Devin Harris (DAL), Jimmer Fredette (NOP), C.J. McCollum (POR)
SG: Quincy Pondexter (MEM), Alan Anderson (BRK), Austin Rivers (NOP), Goran Dragic (PHX), Corey Brewer (MIN), Chase Budinger (MIN), Leandro Barbosa (GSW), Rasual Butler (WAS)
SF: Vince Carter (MEM), Lance Thomas (OKC), Brandon Rush (GSW), Martell Webster (WAS)
PF: Jabari Parker (MIL), Steve Novak (UTA), Josh Smith (DET), Tony Mitchell (DET), Draymond Green (GSW)
C: Jason Maxiell (CHA), Greg Monroe (DET), Tariq Black (HOU), Mitch McGary (OKC), DeJuan Blair (WAS)

On the fence about Enes Kanter (C from PF), Nick Young (SF from SG), Kyle O'Quinn (C from PF), and Devin Harris (SG from PG).  Those players are fine now but should probably shift once players recover from injury.

INJURIES
2K made injuries much more accessible this year, finally providing users the ability to edit injuries (including their expected return dates), making 2K's updates worth downloading year-round for the first time ever.  The only game mode injuries will directly impact are Online Quick Matches.

Users can also download Injury-Free rosters, a boon for anyone who wants to play with updated rosters but still use oft-injured Derrick Rose.   It probably would have been a disaster for 2K if cover-boy Kevin Durant weren't usable for 2 months due to his injury, so this is a win-win for the company and its fans.

ETA Return Dates
Day-To-Day: 1 (Still playable)
1-2 weeks: 12
2-4 weeks: 2
4-6 weeks: 3
1-2 months: 1
6-8 weeks: 4
8-10 weeks: 1
6-8 months (Out for season): 6

It's worth noting that during press-time Wayne Ellington had his injury removed and Julius Randle had his added.  That captures 2K's commitment to updated rosters moving forward.

Only one player was listed as DTD but I'm sure that will pick up.  It's still worth noting that some players are deactivated but have no injury status.
Active (0 minutes): Jose Calderon, Kevin Martin, Brook Lopez
Inactive (Reserve): Greg Monroe, P.J. Tucker, David Lee

If I check the roster and see David Lee is healthy, then pick the Warriors in an Online game and come to find he's not active (Rotations can't be checked from the NBA Today screen), I wouldn't be pleased.  The confusion can be avoided by simply DTDing those players going forward.  No reason to skimp and go half-way when these are going to be updated regularly.

Nick Calathes' 13-game suspension is also missing.  There is an option for "Suspension" in the injury status menu.  If it's there, it should be used.  This would likewise avoid confusion for users who pick the Pistons expecting to use Greg Monroe.

76ers: Michael Carter-Williams (1-2 weeks), Jerami Grant (1-2 weeks), Joel Embiid (6-8 months), Jason Richardson (6-8 months)
Bucks: Johnny O'Bryant (4-6 weeks), Damian Inglis (6-8 weeks)
Bulls: None
Cavaliers: None
Celtics: Vitor Faverani (6-8 weeks)
Clippers: None
Grizzlies: None
Hawks: None
Heat: Josh McRoberts (DTD)
Hornets: None
Jazz: None
Kings: None
Knicks: Andrea Bargnani (1-2 weeks)
Lakers: Ryan Kelly (1-2 weeks), Nick Young (2-4 weeks), Steve Nash (6-8 months), Julius Randle (6-8 months)
Magic: Channing Frye (1-2 weeks), Victor Oladipo (4-6 weeks)
Mavericks: Raymond Felton (1-2 weeks)
Nets: None
Nuggets: None
Pacers: David West (1-2 weeks), C.J. Watson (1-2 weeks), George Hill (2-4 weeks), Paul George (6-8 months)
Pelicans: None
Pistons: Jodie Meeks (1-2 months)
Raptors: None
Rockets: None
Spurs: Kawhi Leonard (1-2 weeks), Tiago Splitter (1-2 weeks), Patrick Mills (6-8 months)
Suns: T.J. Warren (1-2 weeks)
Thunder: Reggie Jackson (1-2 weeks), Jeremy Lamb (1-2 weeks), Anthony Morrow (4-6 weeks), Mitch McGary (6-8 weeks), Kevin Durant (8-10 weeks)
Timberwolves: None
Trail Blazers: None
Warriors: None
Wizards: Bradley Beal (6-8 weeks)

TEAM RATING CHANGES

EASTERN CONFERENCE
91 Cavaliers (NC)
89 Bulls (-1)

86 Hornets (+1)
86 Raptors (NC)

85 Heat (-1)
84 Wizards (-2)
83 Hawks
83 Celtics (+1)
81 Knicks (+1)
77 Nets (-2)

77 Pistons (-2)
74 Bucks (-1)
71 Magic (-2)

70 Pacers (-14)
65 Sixers (-6)

WESTERN CONFERENCE
91 Clippers (NC)

90 Spurs (-3)
87 Trail Blazers (NC)
84 Rockets (-2)
84 Warriors (-1)

84 Pelicans (+1)
83 Grizzlies (NC)
82 Mavericks (NC)
82 Suns (NC)
81 Lakers (NC)
81 Nuggets (+1)
80 Kings (+1)

79 Timberwolves (-1)
76 Thunder (-12)
72 Jazz (NC)

The Pacers and Thunder have been decimated by injuries, while the Sixers are missing their only starting caliber player.  I wouldn't read too much into the rest of the fluctuation as there have been no rating changes, only injury and rotation adjustments.


Overall this is an excellent showing by 2K Sports.  Hopefully they can keep it up as the season progresses!

Thursday, October 16, 2014

NBA 2K15 - New players added + Free Agent classifications

2K Sports has fixed the missing player issue they've had over the years, adding players regardless of contract status and without delay.  Long gone are the days of 2K13 which had numerous missing players throughout the year.

Since the game launched 9 days ago we've had at least 19 players added to the roster.

K.J. McDaniels (69/SF) - PHI
Casper Ware (66/PG) - PHI
Damien Inglis (69/SF) - MIL (Guaranteed)
Shane Edwards (63/SF) - CLE
Dwight Powell (66/PF) - BOS
Jorge Gutierrez (65/PG) - BRK
Erick Green (69/PG) - DEN
Damjan Rudez (71/SF) - IND (Guaranteed)
Patric Young (67/PF) - NOP
Spencer Dinwiddie (69/PG) - DET (Guaranteed)
Lucas Nogueira (69/PF) - TOR (Guaranteed)
Kostas Papanikolaou (71/SF) - HOU (Guaranteed)
Joey Dorsey (70/PF) - HOU (Guaranteed)
Clint Capela (67/PF) - HOU (Guaranteed)
Zoran Dragic (72/SG) - PHX (Guaranteed)
Grant Jerrett (67/PF) - OKC (Guaranteed)
Glenn Robinson III (67/SF) - MIN
Jason Kapono (65/SF) - GSW
D.J. Mbenga (63/C) - FA

I am relatively certain there are more players (for example, I think Dahntay Jones was removed but then re-added upon his training camp invite in Utah) but it's difficult to say when 2K did not release the Free Agent pool among their pre-release ratings..

One added bonus is this influx has allowed 2K to clean out it's Free Agent pool.  As of this writing there are 99 players in the FA pool.

NON-GUARANTEES
Jordan Hamilton (70/SF), Diante Garrett (69/PG), Alonzo Gee (69/SF), Doron Lamb (69/SG), Chris Johnson (68/SF), Charlie Villanueva (68/PF), Rasual Butler (69/SF), Josh Powell (67/PF), Dionte Christmas, Peyton Siva (66/PG), Ronnie Price (66/PG), Justin Holiday (65/SG), Earl Barron (65/C), Lorenzo Brown (65/PG), Kim English (65/SG), Dexter Pittman (65/C), Seth Curry (65/PG), Brian Cook (65/PF), Kyrylo Fesenko (63/C), D.J. Mbenga (63/C)
Players invited to training camp.  Some will make the team roster, but most will head to the...

D-LEAGUE
Nobody fits this classification yet, as the league doesn't begin its roster process until just after the NBA season has started.  It will be filled with Non-Guarantees and...

TRUE FREE AGENTS
Robert Covington (70/SF), Jamaal Franklin (69/SG), Ronnie Brewer (69/SG), John Lucas (69/PG), Keith Bogans (68/SG), Dante Cunningham (68/PF), Jarvis Varnado (67/PF), Malcolm Thomas (66/PF), Reggie Williams (66/SF), Othyus Jeffers (65/SG), Hasheem Thabeet (65/C). Josh Akognon (65/PG), Erik Murphy (65/PF), Sherron Collins (65/PG), Rodney Carney (64/SF), Lazar Hayward (64/SF), Vander Blue (64/SG), Solomon Alabi (63/C), Royal Ivey (59/PG)
Players without domestic or international contracts. Most were waived by teams in the last 30 days, else they would be in camp.

INJURED FREE AGENTS
Emeka Okafor (73/C), Andrew Bynum (73/C), Rashard Lewis (73/PF), Carlos Delfino (70/SF), Greg Oden (68/C)
Players good enough to make an NBA team but presently not healthy enough to pass their physical.

VETERANS WAITING FOR MID-SEASON
Ray Allen (78/SG), Jermaine O'Neal (73/C), Kenyon Martin (70/PF)
Distinguishes vets choosing to sit out in order to join a contender at an advantageous moment.

NOT FREE AGENTS
Vitor Faverani (72/C), Francisco Garcia (69/SF), Robbie Hummel (68/SF), Tony Mitchell (68/SF)
Players in 2K15's FA pool because the team's guaranteed contracts exceed their 15 available roster spots.

TEMPORARY INTERNATIONAL
Andray Blatche (75/C), Jordan Crawford (74/SG), Michael Beasley (72/SF), Miroslav Raduljica (67/C), Mike Harris (65/SF), D.J. White (65/PF), Daniel Orton (63/C)
Basically the list of players who signed in China.  The Chinese season ends late-February which gives players time to re-join the NBA before the playoffs (most recently Shavlik Randolph).

PERMANENT INTERNATIONAL
MarShon Brooks (71/SG), James Anderson (71/SG), Josh Harrellson (68/C), Nando De Colo (68/PG), Julyan Stone (67/PG), Dwight Buycks (66/PG), Gustavo Ayon (66/C), Hilton Armstrong (66/C), Jan Vesely (66/PF), Fab Melo (65/C), Tornike Shengelia (64/SF), Jon Brockman (64/PF), Viacheslav Kravtsov (64/C), Darington Hobson (63/SF), Justin Harper (63/PF), Luke Harangody (62/PF), Sasha Pavlovic (62/SF), Andy Rautins (61/SG), Orien Greene (60/PG), James Nunnally (60/SF), Darnell Jackson (58/PF)
Players signed internationally who do not have NBA out-clauses for the 2014-15 season (with some even having multi-year deals).  It is very difficult for players to return to the NBA once they reach this classification, and some even lose the desire to, as they are getting comparable NBA money and much greater opportunity.

RETIRED
Chauncey Billups (72/PG), Lamar Odom (67/PF), Earl Watson (67/PG), Andris Biedrins (66/C), Jason Collins (66/C), Mike James (65/PG), Brian Cardinal (65/PF), Melvin Ely (65/C), Kwame Brown (65/C), Kelenna Azubuike (65/SG), Marquis Daniels (65/SF), Malik Allen (64/PF), Bobby Simmons (64/SF), Ronald Dupree (64/SF), Quinton Ross (64/SG), Matt Carroll (63/SG), Brian Skinner (63/C), DeSagana Diop (63/C), Vladimir Radmanovic (63/PF), Francisco Elson (62/C)
Players who either announced their retirement or have unofficially given up playing professional basketball.

I'm personally in favor of all "Retired" and "Permanent International" players being removed from the roster to further unclutter the Free Agent pool (99 FAs is still a lot).  These players stay in 2K's database and can be easily re-added to the roster if necessary at any time.  Given how quickly they are doing this now, I don't anticipate any issues.

Sunday, October 12, 2014

NBA 2K15 Dunk Ratings - Shooting Guards

Continuing where we left off with Point Guards, here are the new Dunk ratings for Shooting Guards in NBA 2K15.

NBA 2K14's Dunk Scales (2K15 has not yet been gameplay tested as of this writing)
25: Can't Dunk
45: Under 6'2" can Dunk when open (it seems like 30 is the new cutoff for this)
55: Can Dunk
70: Can Dunk in Traffic
85: Can Dunk in Heavy Traffic

SHOOTING GUARDS
98 (NA) Zach LaVine (Rookie)  (Listed at PG by 2K)
92 (-4) Terrence Ross (3.9%) - 25 (Listed at SF by 2K)
90 (NC) DeMar DeRozan (2.8%) - 38
87 (+13) Ben McLemore (6.6%) - 34
85 (NC) Victor Oladipo (4.2%) - 28
85 (-2) J.R. Smith (1.9%) - 15
85 (-8) Jared Cunningham (0.0%) - 0* (career stats)
85 (NA) Markel Brown (Rookie)
84 (+4) Jason Richardson (0.9%) - 3* (2013 stats)
80 (-8) Gerald Henderson (5.3%) - 46
80 (+2) Kent Bazemore (2.9%) - 9
79 (-1) Jeremy Lamb (3.4%) - 21
78 (-3) Tony Allen (4.8%) - 20
78 (NC) Tim Hardaway Jr (4.5%) - 29
77 (-12) Shannon Brown (6.2%) - 32* (2013 stats)
77 (-2) Thabo Sefolosha (5.3%) - 16
77 (-3) Iman Shumpert (3.1%) - 12
76 (+3) James Harden (3.9%) - 45
76 (-2) Dion Waiters (3.5%) - 29
76 (-3) Lance Stephenson (2.3%) - 19
75 (NC) Jimmy Butler (4.3%) - 29
75 (+4) Tony Snell (2.1%) - 6 (Listed at SF by 2K)
75 (-3) Bradley Beal (1.9%) - 20
74 (+3) Kobe Bryant (3.3%) - 51* (2013 stats)
73 (+3) - Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (4.8%) - 17
73 (NA) Justin Holiday (4.2%) - 2
73 (NA) P.J. Hairston (Rookie)
72 (+4) Xavier Henry (5.8%) - 16
72 (-12) Ronnie Brewer (4.0%) - 5* (2013 stats)
71 (-6) Will Barton (10.9%) - 16
70 (-14) Dwyane Wade (5.3%) - 40
70 (-2) Jodie Meeks (2.8%) - 34
70 (-12) Wesley Matthews (1.9%) - 17
70 (-10) Eric Gordon (0.6%) - 5
69 (+1) Glen Rice Jr (10.8%) - 4
69 (NC) Alec Burks (3.7%) - 28
69 (-6) Courtney Lee (1.1%) - 6
68 (-3) Elliot Williams (8.3%) - 26
68 (NC) James Anderson (5.7%) - 37
68 (-12) C.J. Miles (4.2%) - 16
68 (NA) Kim English (0.9%) - 1* (career stats)
66 (-8) Jamaal Franklin (2.6%) - 1
66 (+6) Ray Allen (1.1%) - 6
65 (-10) Carrick Felix (14.3%) - 2
65 (NC) James Young (Rookie) (Listed at SF by 2K)
64 (NA) Quinton Ross (0.4%) - 1* (2009 stats)
63 (+8) Danny Green (0.8%) - 4
62 (-3) Archie Goodwin (9.6%) - 15
62 (+4) Kevin Martin (3.2%) - 32
62 (NC) MarShon Brooks (3.2%) - 33* (career stats)
62 (-7) Monta Ellis (1.5%) - 18
62 (-6) Jordan Crawford (1.5%) - 10
62 (NC) Klay Thompson (1.0%) - 11
60 (-9) Rasual Butler (4.5%) - 5 (Listed at SF by 2K)
59 (+1) Manu Ginobili (2.2%) - 10
55 (-17) Kelenna Azubuike (3.9%) - 31* (2009 stats)
55 (NC) Evan Fournier (2.2%) - 12
55 (-16) E'Twaun Moore (1.1%) - 5
55 (-14) O.J. Mayo (0.4%) - 1
55 (-20) Rodney Stuckey (0.2%) - 2
55 (NA) Nick Johnson (Rookie)
53 (-10) Alan Anderson (1.9%) - 9 (Listed at SF by 2K)
52 (+6) - Willie Green (2.2%) - 6
50 (-11) Avery Bradley (2.7%) - 17
50 (-16) Wayne Ellington (2.4%) - 3e
50 (-14) Jamal Crawford (0.3%) - 3
50 (NA) Vander Blue (0.0%) - 0
50 (NA) Gary Harris (Rookie)
49 (-23) Marcus Thornton (0.0%) - 0
48 (-9) Marco Belinelli (0.6%) - 3
45 (-1) Alexey Shved (3.0%) - 7
45 (NA) Ian Clark (1.5%) - 1
45 (-22) Ricky Ledo (0.0%) - 0
45 (-15) Allen Crabbe (0.0%) - 0
45 (-16) Keith Bogans (0.0%) - 0 (hasn't dunked in 6 years)
45 (NA) C.J. Wilcox (Rookie)
43 (-19) Gary Neal (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in his career)
42 (NA) Othyus Jeffers (14.0%) - 13* (career stats)
41 (NA) Zoran Dragic (Rookie)
40 (-11) C.J. McCollum (1.1%) - 2
40 (-5) - Randy Foye (0.5%) - 4
40 (-21) John Jenkins (0.3%) - 1* (career stats)
40 (-15) Arron Afflalo (0.2%) - 2
40 (-20) Mike Miller (0.2%) - 1
40 (-17) Jason Terry (0.0%) - 0
40 (NA) Jordan Adams (Rookie)
39 (-32) Dionte Christmas (0.0%) - 0
35 (NA) Troy Daniels (0.0%) - 0
35 (NA) Nik Stauskas (Rookie)
30 (-34) Garrett Temple (0.7%) - 4* (career stats)
30 (-27) Joe Johnson (0.1%) - 0
30 (-30) Anthony Morrow (0.0%) - 0 (three dunks in 6 years)
30 (-40) Doron Lamb (0.0%) - 0
30 (NA) Joe Harris (Rookie)
25 (NC) Kyle Korver (0.0%) - 0
25 (NC) J.J. Redick (0.0%) - 0
25 (NC) Ben Gordon (0.0%) - 0
25 (NC) Leandro Barbosa (0.0%) - 0 (Listed at PG by 2K)
25 (NC) Matt Carroll (0.2%) - 4* (Career stats... he retired last year)
25 (NC) Andy Rautins (0.0%) - 0* (Career stats)

BY THE NUMBERS
26 SG saw their dunk rating decrease by double digits.
1 SG saw a double digit increase.
61 SG have a dunk rating 55 or greater.
51 SG have a dunk rating 70 or greater.
8 SG have a dunk rating 85 or greater.

As we saw with PGs, many SGs have lost the ability to dunk at a high level.  While there are many SG who saw their dunk rating tank, there are still a high number who can yam it with regularity.

Unfortunately, it seems like the SGs up top are less consistent than the PG list.

2K Sports seems to have a vendetta against Dwyane Wade who has been playing at less than 100% of late.  Yet anyone who actually missed time is being given a full pass as we saw with Derrick Rose and now see with Kobe Bryant.  Like Rose, Kobe missed most of a season yet somehow saw his dunk rating go up.  The cherry on top of this **** sundae is that Jason Richardson likewise saw his dunk rating go up after missing a season, despite his dunk ability declining BEFORE his injury.






Wade's dunk rating is a mere 4 points higher than former teammate Ray Allen, 39 years old.  This is why these numbers are important, as perception (Wade's athleticism is declining) needs to meet reality (he's still more athletic than most SGs).

 I have played a few games with and against J.R. Smith and (as per usual) it is way too easy to dunk with him compared to how he performs in real life (though part of the problem is that he has a Silver "Posterizer" badge).  Smith did not look particularly athletic coming off knee surgery yet continues to be one of 2K's all-time cheese kings.

Overall I like the direction these ratings are taking.  Aside from some oversights here and there, these are much better and it's reflecting in the gameplay.

Saturday, October 11, 2014

NBA 2K15 Dunk Ratings - Point Guards

Last week I speculated that PG dunking would be an issue in NBA 2K15 due to video released of Zach LaVine tearing it up on the 2K hardwood.  It appears I was only half-right.  LaVine is a problem but with few exceptions, the rest of the league's PGs will be fine.

I love that stats seemed to play a big part in sorting out where these guys should be rated, and as far as the PGs go we can use this as a barometer for future ratings.

NBA 2K14's Dunk Scales (2K15 has not yet been gameplay tested as of this writing)
25: Can't Dunk
45: Under 6'2" can Dunk when open (it seems like 30 is the new cutoff for this)
55: Can Dunk
70: Can Dunk in Traffic
85: Can Dunk in Heavy Traffic

Dunk Rating - Player (% of FGAs) - Total dunks in 2014 (unless otherwise noted)
NC = No Change
NA = Not Available (new addition to roster)

POINT GUARDS - Dunk Rating
98 (NA) Zach LaVine (Rookie)
89 (+6) John Wall (3.2%) - 43
86 (+2) Derrick Rose (1.7%) - 12* (2012 stats)
82 (-2) Russell Westbrook (4.4%) - 30
78 (+18) Damian Lillard (2.1%) - 22
73 (-4) Austin Rivers (1.5%) - 7
73 (-13) Eric Bledsoe (0.9%) - 5
73 (-11) Nate Robinson (0.8%) - 3
69 (+17) Shaun Livingston (11.3%) - 50
69 (+1) Reggie Jackson (3.2%) - 27
65 (-12) Tony Wroten (3.8%) - 29 (Listed at SG in 2K15)
65 (+10) Jeff Teague (0.9%) - 8
60 (+2) Michael Carter-Williams (2.9%) - 29
53 (-25) Ronnie Price (5.4%) - 4
53 (NC) Norris Cole (0.6%) - 3
51 (NC) Mario Chalmers (0.7%) - 4
50 (+8) Ray McCallum (3.3%) - 8
50 (-5) Ramon Sessions (1.7%) - 13
50 (-18) Julyan Stone (0.4%) - 2* (career stats)
50 (NA) Marcus Smart (Rookie)
48 (-30) Marquis Teague (0.4%) - 0* (career stats)
45 (-1) George Hill (1.1%) - 7
45 (+5) Darren Collison (1.0%) - 7
45 (-24) Jerryd Bayless (1.0%) - 3
45 (+4) Goran Dragic (0.9%) - 9
45 (-23) Toure Murry (0.8%) - 1 (Listed at SG in 2K15)
45 (-16) Deron Williams (0.6%) - 4
45 (-21) Louis Williams (0.6%) - 3
45 (NA) Jordan Clarkson (Rookie)
45 (NA) Spencer Dinwiddie (Rookie)
43 (NA) Orien Greene (4.9%) - 15* (career stats)
40 (NC) Jrue Holiday (1.4%) - 16* (2013 stats)
40 (-15) Brandon Knight (0.8%) - 7
40 (-9) Brandon Jennings (0.4%) - 4
40 (-15) Isaiah Canaan (0.0%) - 0
40 (NA) Lorenzo Brown (0.0%) - 0
40 (NA) Sherron Collins (0.0%) - 0* (career stats)
38 (-26) Jordan Farmar (0.5%) - 2
36 (-32) Donald Sloan (1.0%) - 3* (career stats)
36 (-9) Jeremy Lin (0.6%) - 4
36 (-5) Stephen Curry (0.4%) - 4
36 (NC) Seth Curry (0.0%) - 0
35 (+5) Phil Pressey (0.8%) - 2
35 (NA) Russ Smith (Rookie) (Listed at SG in 2K15)
35 (-13) Mo Williams (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in NBA career)
35 (NA) Jorge Gutierrez (0.0%) - 0
35 (-33) Nemanja Nedovic (0.0%) - 0
31 (-17) Jarrett Jack (0.3%) - 2
30 (-25) Rajon Rondo (0.6%) - 3* (2013 stats)
30 (-38) Ty Lawson (0.4%) - 2
30 (-19) Ish Smith (0.4%) - 1
30 (+5) Mike Conley (0.2%) - 2
30 (-30) Kyrie Irving (0.2%) - 2
30 (-15) Patrick Beverley (0.2%) - 1
30 (-20) Kemba Walker (0.1%) - 0
30 (-10) Trey Burke (0.1%) - 1
30 (-46) Will Bynum (0.0%) - 0
30 (-39) Devin Harris (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in 4 years)
30 (-25) Shelvin Mack (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in 3 years)
30 (-20) Cory Joseph (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in 3 years)
30 (-10) Diante Garrett (0.0% - 0
30 (-10) Dwight Buycks (0.0%) - 0
30 (NA) Shabazz Napier (Rookie)
30 (NA) Dante Exum (Rookie)
30 (NA) Elfrid Payton (Rookie)
28 (-20) Nando De Colo (0.5%) - 2* (career stats)
28 (-17) Greivis Vasquez (0.0%) - 0
28 (-12) C.J. Watson (0.0%) - 0
28 (-13) Brian Roberts (0.0%) - 0
27 (+2) Chris Paul (0.1%) - 1
27 (-28) Isaiah Thomas (0.0%) - 0 (has never dunked in NBA career)
27 (-13) Kendall Marshall (0.0%) - 0
27 (-18) Nick Calathes (0.0%) - 0
26 (-35) Nate Wolters (0.0%) - 0
25 (-15) Matthew Dellavedova (0.0%) - 0
25 (NA) Tyler Ennis (Rookie)
25 (NC) - Everyone else (0.0%) - 0

BY THE NUMBERS
38 PG saw their dunk rating decrease by double digits.
3 PG saw a double digit increase.
13 PG have a dunk rating 55 or greater.
8 PG have a dunk rating 70 or greater.
3 PG have a dunk rating 85 or greater.

Going by the old scales, very few PGs will be able to dunk in traffic now, though the star PGs and athletic freaks (LaVine, Wall, Rose, Westbrook) will probably still be able to do this way too frequently for my liking.

The biggest issue might not be Zach LaVine's dunk rating but rather the fact that he is listed as a Point Guard.  LaVine exclusively played Shooting Guard at UCLA.

Via DraftExpress:
-As one might expect considering his relatively meager production as a freshman at UCLA,Zach Lavine's situational profile doesn't paint a pretty picture. Using 9.7 possessions per-game, he ranks as the lowest usage player in this group, and as the least efficient scorer in both one-on-one and pick and roll situations. On the positive side, LaVine's athleticism shows here, as 32.1% of his possessions came in transition, more than any other player, and while he scored an above average 1.148 points per-catch and shoot jump shot, the team drafting him probably won't be overly concerned with how he looked on paper this past season as focused as they'll be on putting him in position to reach his lofty potential a few years from now.

Additionally, from DX's Scouting Report
To his credit, LaVine does a good job of not turning the ball over too often, coughing the ball up on 12% of his possessions (11th best of the 22 SGs in our Top-100), which helped him post an acceptable PPR (.21) and assist to turnover ratio (1.57). When LaVine puts the ball on the floor, it's mostly to shoot a pull-up jumper, which helps him keep the turnovers to a minimum. Somewhere along the line a narrative developed about LaVine possibly projecting as a point guard down the road, but after watching him in high school and at UCLA, it's difficult to see where that came from.

I also highly recommend DX's 14 minute scouting report as further evidence against LaVine.  He's been playing SG next to Mo Williams this pre-season.  Dock his ability to do this off the dribble and his 98 dunk rating would be totally fine (or at least no worse than the abuse we've seen over the years from Gerald Green).

One possible reason for LaVine's dunk rating not jiving with the rest of the players is 2K's rookie ratings have typically been done by a different producer than the one who rates the rest of the players (Remember the STATS Inc mumbo jumbo that 2K was pushing last year?  They automate a bulk of their ratings using a stats program, of which NCAA players do not have applicable data).  This was noticeable in previous iterations of the game.  For example last year 400+ NBA players were held to a 50-99 steal scale (the lowest being Meyers Leonard at 50 Steal), but numerous rookies (eleven!) rated below 50.  One can take this a step further and observe the ratings for legend players; these likewise had to be "handcrafted" and thus weren't scaled with modern players.

Further cementing my theory is that Dante Exum has 30 Dunk rating.



Watching the video it seems like an obvious blunder to rate the 6'6" Exum equally to his teammate, 6'0" Trey Burke.  With the rest of the NBA rating so well and LaVine/Exum rating so poorly on opposite ends of the spectrum (they are 68 points apart!), I don't believe the same person could be responsible.  With that said, while the ratings producer may not have come up with these default ratings, it will be his responsibility to clean up that mess.
  • MISCELLANEOUS NOTES
    Derrick Rose missed two seasons and saw his dunk rating increase, while Russell Westbrook (who has ALWAYS been the far superior dunker) saw his decrease?  At best, Rose should be in the mid-70s Damian Lillard/Eric Bledsoe range.
  • Shaun Livingston's dunk rate is absurdly high because he spent most of the year as a wing, starting and playing next to Deron Williams.  I wouldn't really count him as a  PG which is the main reason why his rating deviates from scale.  It's much easier to get dunks playing off-ball rather than on.
  • Heat PGs Mario Chalmers and Norris Cole were seemingly passed over during the editing process,  as their dunk ratings should both be in the 40-45 range when looking at scale.  They appear to be the only players missed and they play for the same team, so it sure seems like an oversight.
  • Nate Robinson is still too high for my liking.  While the 3-time dunk champ might be great in contests on an uncontested rim, he's never been a prolific in-game dunker.  At 30 years old coming off a torn ACL, his best days are definitely behind him.

Friday, October 10, 2014

NBA 2K15 Team Ratings


Team rating in NBA 2k15 no longer factors in coach ratings and is an average of Offense/Defense ratings.

(Offense / Defense in parenthesize)

EASTERN CONFERENCE
91 Cavaliers (92/90)
90 Bulls (88/93)
86 Heat (84/87)
86 Raptors (87/84)
85 Hornets (85/86)
84 Pacers (77/90)
83 Hawks (83/83)
82 Celtics (79/85)
80 Knicks (82/77)
79 Nets (79/79)
79 Pistons (78/79)
75 Bucks (75/75)
73 Magic (70/76)
71 Sixers (66/76)

WESTERN CONFERENCE
93 Spurs (92/94)
91 Clippers (92/90)
88 Thunder (88/88)
87 Trail Blazers (92/81)
86 Rockets (90/81)
85 Warriors (84/87)
83 Grizzlies (77/89)
83 Pelicans (81/85)
82 Mavericks (90/75)
82 Suns (86/78)
81 Lakers (85/78)
80 Nuggets (81/78)
80 Timberwolves (80/79)
79 Kings (80/77)
72 Jazz (73/71)

The Celtics seem a bit high but this is otherwise a much better list than we've seen in previous iterations.