Saturday, December 20, 2014

NBA 2K15 Point Guard Ratings (12/19/14)

I'm here checking back on point guard ratings as there were a number of rating changes this week.  Nearly everyone I touched on last week saw an increase/decrease and I would like to think the data I put together was able to make some kind of contribution.  While 2K took some steps in the right direction, the job is still far from complete.

RATING CHANGES
90 Russell Westbrook (+2)
88 Kyle Lowry (+2)
87 Derrick Rose (-1)
86 Mike Conley (+2)
86 Tony Parker (-1)
82 Jeff Teague (+1)
79 Patrick Beverley (+2)
79 Michael Carter-Williams (-1)
76 Dennis Schroder (+1)
76 Aaron Brooks (+1)
76 C.J. Watson (+1)
75 Nate Robinson (-1)
74 Marcus Smart (-1)
74 Matthew Dellavedova (+1)
73 Isaiah Canaan (+1)
73 Jarrett Jack (-1)
73 Elfrid Payton (-1)
73 Ramon Sessions (-1)
73 Jordan Farmar (+1)
72 Dante Exum (-2)
71 Shelvin Mack (-1)

The big movers were all the key figures from last week.  Aside from Westbrook, I'm content with their current standing.

RATING TIERS
95-99: All-Time Great
90-94: Superstar
85-89: All-Star
80-84: Above average starter (or elite backup)
75-79: Average NBA player (Mediocre starter, quality backup)
70-74: Specialist (1-2 skills keeping player in league)
65-69: Fringe NBA player

POINT GUARDS (72)
1-10
91 (+2) Stephen Curry (26.9 PER, 62 TS%, 29 USG%, 38 AST%)
90 (+2) Russell Westbrook (32.7 PER, 58 TS%, 40 USG%, 50 AST%)
90 (-1) Chris Paul (25.4 PER, 60 TS%, 22 USG%, 46 AST%)
88 (+3) Kyle Lowry (23.4 PER, 56 TS%, 26 USG%, 37 AST%)
88 (+2) John Wall (21.1 PER, 53 TS%, 26 USG%, 47 AST%)
87 (NC) Damian Lillard (22.4 PER, 59 TS%, 25 USG%, 29 AST%)
87 (+1) Kyrie Irving (20.3 PER, 58 TS%, 23 USG%, 23 AST%)
87 (-1) Derrick Rose (17.1 PER, 52 TS%, 32 USG%, 35 AST%)
86 (+3) Mike Conley (20.4 PER, 57 TS%, 24 USG%, 31 AST%)
86 (-2) Tony Parker (16.9 PER, 58 TS%, 24 USG%, 30 AST%)

THE WESTBROOK WATCH
2015 Russell Westbrook: 58.4 TS%, 39.7 USG% (90 Overall)
2006 Kobe Bryant: 55.9 TS%, 38.7 USG%
1987 Michael Jordan: 56.2 TS%, 38.3 USG%
2002 Allen Iverson: 48.9 TS%, 37.8 USG%
2015 Kobe Bryant: 48.5 TS%, 36.4 USG% (89 Overall)

Westbrook is starting to get his due from 2K and his numbers through 12 games clearly warrant even higher ratings.

Rose shot 12-35 (1-10 3PT) in his two games since last week, while recording another 7 turnovers (to 11 assists).  With a 1.57 A/T ratio and scoring numbers not even in the same ballpark as Westbrook/Curry, it's clear as day Rose is no longer an all-star, much less a superstar.

At press-time Damian Lillard's career high 43 points in tonight's triple overtime victory are not factored into his stats, so you can be sure his rating will go up shortly.

11-20
85 (+1) Deron Williams (17.1 PER, 54 TS%, 23 USG%, 33 AST%)
85 (-2) Rajon Rondo (15.1 PER, 42 TS%, 18 USG%, 47 AST%)
83 (+3) Isaiah Thomas (20.9 PER, 58 TS%, 28 USG%, 27 AST%)
83 (-1) Ty Lawson (17.2 PER, 50 TS%, 21 USG%, 44 AST%)
82 (+4) Jeff Teague (21.2 PER, 59 TS%, 25 USG%, 37 AST%)
82 (NC) Jrue Holiday (19.1 PER, 53 TS%, 22 USG%, 32 AST%)
82 (-2) Goran Dragic (17.5 PER, 58 TS%, 22 USG%, 22 AST%)
82 (+1) Eric Bledsoe (17.2 PER, 55 TS%, 23 USG%, 28 AST%)
81 (+2) Brandon Knight (18.5 PER, 57 TS%, 26 USG%, 28 AST%)
80 (+1) Darren Collison (18.0 PER, 54 TS%, 22 USG%, 31 AST%)

In the NBA season's first big shakeup, Rajon Rondo was traded to the Dallas Mavericks.  There are many questions about how Rondo will fit in Dallas, and they are giving up a substantial piece in Brandan Wright (26.1 PER, 4th in the NBA).  Offensively, Rondo's awful shooting and ball-dominant style would not seem to mesh well with Monta Ellis in the backcourt.  Defensively, Rondo has been a vastly overrated defender for a few years and the team just gave up their only backup center (though it is worth noting Jermaine O'Neal has been hanging out in Dallas).  Whether or not he can turn his season and career around with this change of scenery, all eyes are on Rondo now.

21-30
80 (-2) Kemba Walker (16.6 PER, 48 TS%, 24 USG%, 27 AST%)
80 (NC) Brandon Jennings (15.5 PER, 49 TS%, 23 USG%, 38 AST%)
80 (+2) Reggie Jackson (15.3 PER, 50 TS%, 24 USG%, 29 AST%)
79 (NC) Ricky Rubio (15.9 PER, 46 TS%, 20 USG%, 56 AST%)
79 (+1) Patrick Beverley (14.8 PER, 57 TS%, 16 USG%, 16 AST%)
79 (-1) Michael Carter-Williams (12.4 PER, 45 TS%, 28 USG%, 43 AST%)
78 (NC) Jose Calderon (12.3 PER, 54 TS%, 14 USG%, 20 AST%)
77 (+1) Kirk Hinrich (8.5 PER, 49 TS%, 16 USG%, 18 AST%)
76 (+1) Dennis Schroder (18.5 PER, 55 TS%, 25 USG%, 31 AST%)
76 (NC) Andre Miller (17.2 PER, 63 TS%, 15 USG%, 39 AST%)

It's been weird watching Jose Calderon's 3-year transformation from premier passing PG to the poor-man's Pablo Prigioni.

Hinrich was scoreless in two of his three games this week.  It's obvious he's not a top-30 PG.

31-40
76 (+3) Aaron Brooks (16.4 PER, 58 TS%, 27 USG%, 30 AST%)
76 (+1) C.J. Watson (16.0 PER, 57 TS%, 21 USG%, 29 AST%)
76 (+1) Mario Chalmers (15.2 PER, 56 TS%, 22 USG%, 24 AST%)
76 (+2) Tony Wroten (14.1 PER, 50 TS%, 29 USG%, 37 AST%)
76 (-1) Jeremy Lin (13.2 PER, 54 TS%, 19 USG%, 27 AST%)
76 (NC) Greivis Vasquez (12.7 PER, 47 TS%, 23 USG%, 24 AST%)
75 (+1) J.J. Barea (18.8 PER, 53 TS%, 22 USG%, 33 AST%)
75 (NC) Devin Harris (15.9 PER, 58 TS%, 16 USG%, 23 AST%)
75 (-1) Mo Williams (13.1 PER, 49 TS%, 21 USG%, 40 AST%)
75 (-1) D.J. Augustin (11.9 PER, 49 TS%, 21 USG%, 26 AST%)

The Rondo trade could have a deep impact on Barea and Harris.  Jameer Nelson is a little easier to beat out for playing-time.

41-50
75 (NC) Trey Burke (11.6 PER, 46 TS%, 21 USG%, 27 AST%)
75 (-1) Jameer Nelson (10.0 PER, 50 TS%, 16 USG%, 22 AST%)
75 (-1) Nate Robinson (8.1 PER, 41 TS%, 23 USG%, 23 AST%)
74 (NC) Beno Udrih (16.2 PER, 57 TS%, 19 USG%, 32 AST%)
74 (NC) Brian Roberts (13.2 PER, 51 TS%, 19 USG%, 21 AST%)
74 (-2) Marcus Smart (11.7 PER, 48 TS%, 18 USG%, 13 AST%)
74 (-1) Norris Cole (10.9 PER, 45 TS%, 16 USG%, 22 AST%)
74 (+2) Matthew Dellavedova (6.2 PER, 45 TS%, 12 USG%, 18 AST%)
73 (NC) Cory Joseph (15.8 PER, 56 TS%, 18 USG%, 19 AST%)
73 (-1) Shaun Livingston (13.5 PER, 56 TS%, 17 USG%, 22 AST%)

It's clear the Mavericks gave up on Jameer Nelson, who didn't shoot nearly well enough in his limited touches to warrant putting up with the rest of his limitations.  As much as Nelson would like to play for a contender, he'll start mentoring Marcus Smart effective immediately (who is poised for a major breakout with this news).

Dellavedova inexplicably went up 1 OVR.  He's a poor-man's Kirk Hinrich but is rated what the real-life Hinrich should be.

51-60
73 (+1) Isaiah Canaan (13.1 PER, 58 TS%, 19 USG%, 14 AST%)
73 (-1) Jarrett Jack (12.3 PER, 50 TS%, 20 USG%, 23 AST%)
73 (-1) Kendall Marshall (11.7 PER, 60 TS%, 15 USG%, 30 AST%)
73 (-1) Elfrid Payton (10.4 PER, 41 TS%, 19 USG%, 30 AST%)
73 (-1) Ramon Sessions (10.1 PER, 46 TS%, 21 USG%, 24 AST%)
73 (+1) Jordan Farmar (9.7 PER, 54 TS%, 17 USG%, 18 AST%)
73 (-1) Shabazz Napier (9.5 PER, 56 TS%, 16 USG%, 15 AST%)
72 (NC) Pablo Prigioni (14.1 PER, 64 TS%, 13 USG%, 19 AST%)
72 (NC) Luke Ridnour (11.0 PER, 52 TS%, 14 USG%, 26 AST%
72 (+1) Steve Blake (9.8 PER, 50 TS%, 12 USG%, 27 AST%)

I will take solace in that I was right about Pablo Prigoni being an effective triangle player.  It's the only enjoyment I've gotten out of the Knicks this season.

61-73
72 (-2) Dante Exum (8.8 PER, 52 TS%, 19 USG%, 18 AST%)
72 (-3) Nate Wolters (3.8 PER, 38 TS%, 12 USG%, 7 AST%)
71 (+6) Donald Sloan (12.9 PER, 48 TS%, 20 USG%, 26 AST%)
71 (NC) Shelvin Mack (12.5 PER, 48 TS%, 19 USG%, 28 AST%)
71 (-1) Shane Larkin (9.7 PER, 51 TS%, 13 USG%, 15 AST%)
71 (-3) Ray McCallum (6.4 PER, 51 TS%, 18 USG%, 11 AST%)
70 (NC) Jordan Clarkson (14.5 PER, 53 TS%, 19 USG%, 11 AST%)
70 (NC) Phil Pressey (9.5 PER, 41 TS%, 14 USG%, 25 AST%)
70 (-2) Zach LaVine (8.0 PER, 47 TS%, 20 USG%, 21 AST%)
69 (NC) Ronnie Price (8.4 PER, 39 TS%, 12 USG%, 23 AST%)
68 (-4) Jimmer Fredette (2.9 PER, 32 TS%, 15 USG%, 13 AST%)
67 (NC) Leandro Barbosa (12.4 PER, 50 TS%, 20 USG%, 12 AST%)
66 (NC) A.J. Price (16.3 PER, 52 TS%, 24 USG%, 26 AST%)

Mack had a huge game (24 points, 6-6 3PT) against Cleveland to salvage his season.  Prior to that explosion he'd only broken double figures twice.

LESS THAN 100 MINUTES (14)
78 (NC) George Hill (DNP)
77 (NC) Patrick Mills (DNP)
76 (NC) Steve Nash (DNP)
74 (NC) Raymond Felton (DNP)
72 (NC) Nick Calathes (6.7 PER, 34 TS%, 16 USG%, 36 AST%)
71 (NC) Tyler Ennis (13.6 PER, 58 TS%, 23 USG%, 32 AST%)
69 (NEW) Spencer Dinwiddie (7.4 PER, 38 TS%, 17 USG%, 29 AST%)
68 (NEW) Erick Green (13.7 PER, 56 TS%, 23 USG%, 21 AST%)
68 (NC) Ish Smith (14.0 PER, 45 TS%, 19 USG%, 20 AST%)
68 (-1) Russ Smith (-34.1 PER, 0 TS%, 25 USG%, 0 AST%)
67 (NEW) Darius Morris (13.9 PER, 45 TS%, 28 USG%, 64 AST%)
67 (NC) Jannero Pargo (13.5 PER, 55 TS%, 25 USG%, 15 AST%)
67 (NC) Jared Cunningham (2.4 PER, 36 TS%, 23 USG%, 18 AST%)
66 (NC) Toure Murry (DNP)

FREE AGENTS (21)
72 (+2) Will Bynum (DNP)
69 (NC) Sebastian Telfair (11.8 PER, 48 TS%, 22 USG%, 23 AST%)
69 (NC) Marquis Teague (DNP)
69 (NC) Diante Garrett (DNP)
69 (NC) John Lucas (DNP)
68 (NC) Nando De Colo (DNP)
67 (NC) Will Cherry (5.9 PER, 35 TS%, 17 USG%, 16 AST%)
67 (NC) Gal Mekel (0.6 PER, 15 TS%, 23 USG%, 40 AST%)
67 (NC) Kalin Lucas (-0.6 PER, 0 TS%, 8 USG%, 0 AST%)
67 (NC) Nemanja Nedovic (DNP)
67 (NC) Julyan Stone (DNP)
66 (NC) Dwight Buycks (DNP)
66 (NC) Casper Ware (DNP)
66 (NC) Peyton Siva (DNP)
65 (NC) Jorge Gutierrez (11.1 PER, 52 TS%, 19 USG%, 27 AST%)
65 (NC) Lorenzo Brown (DNP)
65 (NC) Seth Curry (DNP)
65 (NC) Josh Akognon (DNP)
65 (NC) Sherron Collins (DNP)
65 (NC) Mike James (DNP)
60 (NC) Orien Greene (DNP)

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